SoCo Monitor — Sonoma County Weather & Alerts

Conditions as of Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 8:34 AM PT

PSPS Outlook✅ No PSPS forecast for Sonoma County through Oct 27 Fire Risk — North Bay✅ Low today — cooler, moister, showers moving in NWS Watches / Warnings✅ None in effect for Sonoma County land areas

Today's Weather — Lower Russian River

Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 5:57 AM PT — Cody's morning report · Source: NWS Area Forecast Discussion

5-day forecast chart for the Lower Russian River and Guerneville area

Morning, neighbors!

Rain showers are the story again today here in the Lower Russian River and Guerneville area. A slow-moving upper-level low just offshore will keep light rain going through this afternoon for spots that see it.

Most places can expect about 0.10 to 0.50 inches over the course of today, with coastal areas likely picking up the highest totals thanks to upslope flow. The severe threat from earlier has closed — this is now just light, beneficial rain.

Showers should taper off entirely by sunset tonight, with drier air filling in behind the exiting system.

Looking ahead, Friday starts a warming and drying trend that carries into the weekend and early next week. Temperatures will hover right around normal for this time of year — no big warmup, just a nice, mellow reset under light ridging through mid next week, before troughing starts to develop well offshore again.

Bottom line: wet roads and on-and-off showers today, dry by tonight, and a calm, near-normal weekend ahead. Easy day to let the rain do its work and enjoy the clear-out coming behind it. 🤙

Weather Outlooks

Last checked Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 8:34 AM PT — NOAA Climate Prediction Center 6–10 day outlooks · More outlooks at CPC

Precipitation Outlook

Chance of above- or below-normal precipitation over the next 6–10 days.

Temperature Outlook

Chance of above- or below-normal temperatures over the next 6–10 days.

Latest Critical NWS Alerts

Last checked Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 8:34 AM PT

✅ No active warnings right now. Warnings will appear here as they are issued.

Roads & Hazards

Last checked Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 8:34 AM PT — West County & the Coastal Range · County reports and the Sonoma County road closure map

Vacation Beach Summer Crossing

Closed for the season · since Mon, Oct 12, 2026

The summer crossing at Vacation Beach on the Russian River has been taken out for the winter season. It comes back next summer.

View on a map

Source: Sonoma County Public Infrastructure

Fire Weather & PSPS

Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 8:28 AM PT — Fire Weather Outlook

Fire weather dashboard with the North Ops 7-day significant fire potential outlook by region

Risk is low across the North Bay today: cooler and moister with showers and a chance of thunderstorms, and PG&E shows no PSPS activity for any of the five counties through October 27. The one offshore wind event on the horizon stays up near Redding this weekend.

Lake Sonoma

Thu, Oct 22, 2026 · 6:00 AM PT — Outflow from Warm Springs Dam, the main feeder to the lower Russian River

105 cfs
current outflow

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